Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Poehling 48.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 50.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Evans
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Evans
Poehling
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Evans
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Evans
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
4
Evans
Poehling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
50.4% (680)
+5.2%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.3% (12)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
38.8% (219)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Evans
Poehling
Home
54.7% (402)
47.4% (422)
Away
56.9% (341)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Evans
Poehling
P1
57.9%
53.3%
P2
55.2%
40.3%
P3
53.6%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |