Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 31-26 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 85.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Evans
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
31
(57 meetings)
26
31
Evans
Monahan
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
22
Evans
Monahan
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
17
3
Evans
Monahan
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
6
Evans
Monahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
51.1% (11,407)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
53.6% (2,582)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
45.9% (772)
+1.2%
On power play, Evans has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Evans
Monahan
Home
53.3% (2,621)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Evans
Monahan
P1
54.0%
51.0%
P2
50.9%
51.7%
P3
52.0%
51.0%
OT
46.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |