Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Kozak 47.8% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 70.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.4%
Neutral zone
Kozak 52.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Evans
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
46.0% (137)
+8.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
40.0% (5)
+8.1%
On even strength, Evans has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Kozak is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Evans
Kozak
Home
55.1% (541)
51.2% (84)
Away
50.8% (581)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Evans
Kozak
P1
51.8%
57.1%
P2
53.3%
34.7%
P3
53.8%
48.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.9%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%