Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Dickinson 49.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 78.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 92.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.1%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Guentzel
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Guentzel
Dickinson
Last 5: Guentzel 5-0 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
5
0
Guentzel
Dickinson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
51.9% (670)
-2.8%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
66.7% (9)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
39.1% (156)
+7.1%
On power play, Dickinson has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Guentzel shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Dickinson
Home
50.2% (205)
48.7% (431)
Away
44.4% (169)
50.7% (404)
By Period
Guentzel
Dickinson
P1
47.6%
43.4%
P2
49.0%
54.9%
P3
46.2%
49.6%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |