Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs Dickinson 49.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 71.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 94.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 69.4%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Guentzel
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Guentzel
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
4
0
Guentzel
Dickinson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
51.9% (503)
+0.7%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
50.0% (4)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
40.5% (111)
+3.3%
On power play, Dickinson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Guentzel is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Guentzel shoots left. Dickinson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Dickinson
Home
53.2% (94)
49.0% (345)
Away
42.7% (117)
50.9% (273)
By Period
Guentzel
Dickinson
P1
53.7%
43.9%
P2
46.8%
57.3%
P3
44.3%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |