Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Skinner 44.7% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 69.5%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 53.8%
Neutral zone
Skinner 50.6%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Guentzel
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
42.3% (1,317)
+4.1%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
52.0% (404)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
33.3% (15)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Guentzel shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Skinner
Home
48.9% (583)
48.2% (949)
Away
43.2% (474)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Guentzel
Skinner
P1
48.0%
41.6%
P2
45.5%
46.0%
P3
46.0%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
23.5%
Final 5 min
43.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%