Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 47.0%). Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Fabbri 47.4% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 63.7%
Defensive zone
Fabbri 62.1%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 50.2%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Guentzel
Fabbri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
45.4% (531)
+1.0%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
53.0% (168)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
42.9% (28)
+0.3%
On power play, Fabbri has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Guentzel shoots left. Fabbri is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Fabbri
Home
48.9% (583)
48.6% (368)
Away
43.2% (474)
45.4% (359)
By Period
Guentzel
Fabbri
P1
48.0%
44.1%
P2
45.5%
49.0%
P3
46.0%
48.2%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%