Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs McLeod 46.6% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 79.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 83.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Guentzel
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
48.2% (587)
+4.4%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
49.3% (67)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
39.5% (210)
+4.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Guentzel is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Guentzel shoots left. McLeod is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Guentzel
McLeod
Home
53.2% (94)
47.3% (450)
Away
42.7% (117)
44.9% (414)
By Period
Guentzel
McLeod
P1
53.7%
52.6%
P2
46.8%
43.3%
P3
44.3%
43.6%
OT
0.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.2%