Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs Couturier 53.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 71.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 88.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 61.5%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Guentzel
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Guentzel
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
0
Guentzel
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Guentzel
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
52.6% (624)
+0.0%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
66.7% (66)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
53.2% (188)
-9.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Guentzel is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Guentzel shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Couturier
Home
53.2% (94)
50.7% (424)
Away
42.7% (117)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Guentzel
Couturier
P1
53.7%
55.5%
P2
46.8%
51.7%
P3
44.3%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |