Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.5% vs Blueger 50.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 88.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 92.5%
Neutral zone
Blueger 55.0%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Guentzel
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Guentzel
Blueger
Last 8: Guentzel 4-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
3
0
Guentzel
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
4
Guentzel
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (601)
52.3% (3,403)
-5.7%
Power Play
45.6% (259)
50.7% (71)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
42.9% (1,078)
-1.7%
On even strength, Blueger has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Guentzel shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,099).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Blueger
Home
49.2% (472)
51.4% (2,299)
Away
42.7% (422)
48.6% (2,253)
By Period
Guentzel
Blueger
P1
49.2%
49.2%
P2
44.3%
52.3%
P3
45.4%
48.7%
OT
16.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Blueger
54.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |