Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Blueger 50.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 89.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 92.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 55.1%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Guentzel
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Guentzel
Blueger
Last 8: Guentzel 4-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
3
0
Guentzel
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
4
Guentzel
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
52.2% (3,582)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
50.6% (77)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
42.7% (1,103)
+0.5%
On even strength, Blueger has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Guentzel shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Blueger
Home
48.9% (583)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
43.2% (474)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Guentzel
Blueger
P1
48.0%
49.2%
P2
45.5%
52.2%
P3
46.0%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |