Jake Guentzel vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 73.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 79.0%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 53.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Guentzel
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Guentzel
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
58.0% (666)
-8.9%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
64.8% (165)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
43.4% (152)
+2.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Guentzel is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Trocheck
Home
50.2% (205)
55.3% (436)
Away
44.4% (169)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Guentzel
Trocheck
P1
47.6%
56.4%
P2
49.0%
58.7%
P3
46.2%
55.5%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |