Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Wright wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.5% vs Duchene 54.1% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.8%
Defensive zone
Wright 73.9%
Neutral zone
Wright 53.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Wright
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Wright
Duchene
Last 7: Wright 3-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wright
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wright
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Wright
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (194)
53.9% (10,438)
-4.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.0% (1,677)
-57.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (122)
49.1% (468)
-6.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Wright is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Wright shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Wright
Duchene
Home
48.7% (156)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
44.7% (161)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Wright
Duchene
P1
49.5%
54.4%
P2
40.0%
54.5%
P3
51.0%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.7%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | James Wright |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | James Wright |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |