Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wright wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.5% vs Monahan 51.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.7%
Defensive zone
Wright 74.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 50.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Wright
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wright
Monahan
Last 5: Wright 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Wright
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wright
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (194)
51.1% (11,407)
-1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.6% (2,582)
-53.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (122)
45.9% (772)
-3.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wright is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Wright shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Wright
Monahan
Home
48.7% (156)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.7% (161)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Wright
Monahan
P1
49.5%
51.0%
P2
40.0%
51.7%
P3
51.0%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | James Wright |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | James Wright |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |