Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 46 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 68-59 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 80.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 57.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Benn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
68
(127 meetings)
59
68
Benn
Staal
Last 10: Benn 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
21
15
Benn
Staal
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
14
32
Benn
Staal
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
24
21
Benn
Staal
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,456)
55.9% (14,654)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.6% (2,055)
62.7% (1,762)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
47.9% (2,907)
+1.4%
On power play, Staal has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Benn shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Benn
Staal
Home
54.9% (4,550)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
51.0% (4,492)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Benn
Staal
P1
51.9%
55.2%
P2
52.6%
55.9%
P3
54.0%
54.8%
OT
62.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |