Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.8%). Benn wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Backlund 49.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Benn
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Benn
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
50.5% (944)
-4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
51.5% (66)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.1% (297)
+2.9%
On power play, Benn has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
48.8% (41)
48.1% (636)
Away
50.0% (46)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
34.6%
45.4%
P2
66.7%
54.1%
P3
45.2%
49.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |