Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.5%). Benn wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Dowd 48.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 86.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Benn
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
51.0% (671)
-4.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
0.0% (2)
+61.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
41.5% (224)
+8.5%
On power play, Benn has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Benn is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Benn shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Benn
Dowd
Home
48.8% (41)
48.2% (471)
Away
50.0% (46)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Benn
Dowd
P1
34.6%
48.3%
P2
66.7%
46.8%
P3
45.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |