Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.9%). Benn wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Foligno 49.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 64.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 76.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 58.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Benn
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
49.5% (291)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
55.8% (43)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On power play, Benn has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Benn shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Benn
Foligno
Home
48.8% (41)
48.9% (178)
Away
50.0% (46)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Benn
Foligno
P1
34.6%
43.0%
P2
66.7%
55.9%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |