Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Cates 45.5% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Benn 51.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 63.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Benn
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
45.5% (756)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
42.1% (114)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On power play, Benn has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Benn shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Benn
Cates
Home
48.8% (41)
46.2% (468)
Away
50.0% (46)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Benn
Cates
P1
34.6%
46.0%
P2
66.7%
47.5%
P3
45.2%
42.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%