Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 70.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Benn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Benn
Stamkos
Last 7: Benn 5-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Benn
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
55.9% (499)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
56.3% (126)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
58.3% (12)
-0.2%
On even strength, Benn has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Benn
Stamkos
Home
60.5% (349)
55.3% (349)
Away
62.0% (363)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Benn
Stamkos
P1
60.8%
57.0%
P2
60.1%
59.2%
P3
62.4%
51.5%
OT
83.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
62.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
61.2%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |