Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 76.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Benn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
47.2% (687)
-0.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
45.0% (20)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.0% (88)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Benn shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Benn
Gourde
Home
48.8% (41)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.0% (46)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Benn
Gourde
P1
34.6%
42.2%
P2
66.7%
50.0%
P3
45.2%
44.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |