Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Harkins 50.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Harkins 71.2%
Defensive zone
Harkins 57.3%
Neutral zone
Harkins 62.4%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Rodrigues
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rodrigues
Harkins
Last 5: Rodrigues 4-1 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Harkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Harkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
49.7% (173)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
77.8% (9)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
66.7% (3)
-29.9%
On power play, Harkins has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Harkins is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Harkins
Home
47.9% (445)
55.3% (85)
Away
45.4% (346)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Rodrigues
Harkins
P1
48.3%
71.4%
P2
47.0%
41.8%
P3
44.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |