Jansen Harkins vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Harkins wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 88.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 68.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Harkins
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Harkins
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
1
0
Harkins
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Harkins
1
0
Harkins
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (403)
57.0% (1,635)
-5.9%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
80.0% (25)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (69)
53.8% (279)
+5.6%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Harkins is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Harkins shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Harkins
Kastelic
Home
55.7% (244)
58.7% (904)
Away
50.0% (238)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Harkins
Kastelic
P1
60.8%
58.6%
P2
45.1%
56.5%
P3
53.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |