Jansen Harkins vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Backlund 49.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Harkins
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Harkins
Backlund
Last 6: Harkins 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Harkins
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Harkins
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (403)
49.7% (13,463)
+1.4%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
51.5% (1,338)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (69)
43.9% (2,465)
+15.5%
On power play, Harkins has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Harkins is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Harkins shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Harkins
Backlund
Home
55.7% (244)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
50.0% (238)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Harkins
Backlund
P1
60.8%
48.5%
P2
45.1%
50.3%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |