Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 50.9% vs Nosek 48.5% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Harkins 61.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 54.7%
Neutral zone
Harkins 52.3%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Harkins
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (173)
52.0% (102)
-2.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
100.0% (2)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
29.0% (31)
+37.7%
On penalty kill, Harkins has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Harkins is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Harkins shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Harkins
Nosek
Home
55.3% (85)
52.0% (50)
Away
48.0% (100)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Harkins
Nosek
P1
71.4%
45.0%
P2
41.8%
42.0%
P3
43.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%