Jansen Harkins vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 57.4%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 54.9%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 59.7%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Harkins 2-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
1
0
Harkins
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Harkins
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Harkins
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (403)
49.1% (632)
+2.0%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
28.6% (7)
+51.4%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (69)
45.5% (66)
+13.9%
On power play, Harkins has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Harkins is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Harkins shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Home
55.7% (244)
48.6% (329)
Away
50.0% (238)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Harkins
Ostapchuk
P1
60.8%
48.5%
P2
45.1%
46.4%
P3
53.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |