Jared McCann vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Pageau 55.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 89.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 70.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 78.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
McCann
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
McCann
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
McCann
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
57.1% (905)
-8.3%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
55.2% (116)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
48.0% (204)
+2.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
McCann shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
McCann
Pageau
Home
51.0% (143)
57.0% (618)
Away
45.1% (164)
53.9% (607)
By Period
McCann
Pageau
P1
53.6%
54.4%
P2
52.0%
61.0%
P3
37.6%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.9%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | OT | 03:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | OT | 03:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |