Jared McCann vs Matt Duchene

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Matt Duchene holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCann 50.0% vs Duchene 51.8% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone McCann 53.3%
Defensive zone Duchene 67.8%
Neutral zone Duchene 50.5%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
McCann Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCann
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
51.1% (366)
-6.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
61.5% (65)
+38.5%
On power play, McCann has a +38.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
McCann shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
McCann
Duchene
Home
53.8% (13)
51.7% (201)
Away
42.9% (7)
52.5% (236)
By Period
McCann
Duchene
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
33.3%
57.1%
P3
75.0%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Duchene
56.0%
51.0%
52.2%