Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Frost 50.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 84.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 84.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 82.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
McCann
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McCann
Frost
Last 5: McCann 0-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
McCann
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
McCann
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
49.7% (3,652)
-6.6%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
55.4% (632)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
55.0% (40)
-12.8%
On power play, Frost has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
McCann
Frost
Home
43.1% (1,758)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
McCann
Frost
P1
44.4%
51.2%
P2
41.7%
51.3%
P3
42.7%
48.8%
OT
36.4%
64.9%
Final 5 min
41.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |