Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 49.6% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
McCann
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (15)
49.1% (825)
-9.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
65.4% (130)
+34.6%
On power play, McCann has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (12)
52.6% (489)
Away
40.0% (5)
49.1% (495)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
44.4%
50.3%
P2
33.3%
52.6%
P3
75.0%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%