Jared McCann vs Nathan MacKinnon

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCann 50.0% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 52.2%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 61.7%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 53.9%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
McCann MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
49.7% (1,038)
-5.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
63.7% (157)
+36.3%
On power play, McCann has a +36.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
53.8% (13)
53.1% (618)
Away
42.9% (7)
49.1% (609)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
49.3%
P2
33.3%
53.0%
P3
75.0%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
44.0%
50.5%
51.1%