Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.1%). McCann wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Dowd 48.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 85.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
McCann
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McCann
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
McCann
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
49.2% (778)
-0.4%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
58.3% (12)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
44.0% (234)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
McCann shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
McCann
Dowd
Home
51.0% (143)
46.3% (492)
Away
45.1% (164)
49.8% (532)
By Period
McCann
Dowd
P1
53.6%
49.1%
P2
52.0%
48.2%
P3
37.6%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.9%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Jared McCann |