Jared McCann vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 66.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 53.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
46.0% (250)
-1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
70.6% (17)
+29.4%
On power play, McCann has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
McCann shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.8% (13)
50.3% (175)
Away
42.9% (7)
40.4% (114)
By Period
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
33.3%
45.9%
P3
75.0%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jared McCann |