Jared McCann vs Ryan O'Reilly

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCann 50.0% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone McCann 58.2%
Defensive zone O'Reilly 74.2%
Neutral zone O'Reilly 55.9%
Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
McCann O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCann
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
55.7% (856)
-11.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
57.5% (233)
+42.5%
On power play, McCann has a +42.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
McCann shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
McCann
O'Reilly
Home
53.8% (13)
55.5% (616)
Away
42.9% (7)
55.3% (617)
By Period
McCann
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.1%
P2
33.3%
54.9%
P3
75.0%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%
55.0%
55.4%