Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 73.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 65.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 66.8%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
McCann
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
21
(39 meetings)
18
21
McCann
Stamkos
Last 10: McCann 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
9
McCann
Stamkos
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
9
McCann
Stamkos
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
9
3
McCann
Stamkos
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
50.5% (9,825)
-7.4%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
55.2% (1,729)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
49.6% (827)
-7.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
McCann
Stamkos
Home
43.1% (1,758)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
McCann
Stamkos
P1
44.4%
49.2%
P2
41.7%
52.7%
P3
42.7%
50.9%
OT
36.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
41.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |