Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Johnston 49.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 71.8%
Defensive zone
McCann 53.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 60.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
McCann
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McCann
Johnston
Last 9: McCann 3-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
McCann
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
49.1% (2,232)
-6.0%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
52.5% (179)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
44.7% (237)
-2.5%
On power play, Johnston has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
McCann
Johnston
Home
43.1% (1,758)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
McCann
Johnston
P1
44.4%
50.0%
P2
41.7%
48.1%
P3
42.7%
48.6%
OT
36.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
41.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jared McCann |