Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Mitchell 51.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 51.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 50.6%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 52.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Stoll
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
26
(47 meetings)
21
26
Stoll
Mitchell
Last 10: Stoll 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
5
10
Stoll
Mitchell
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
6
7
Stoll
Mitchell
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
10
9
Stoll
Mitchell
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
51.8% (2,965)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
54.1% (196)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
44.1% (401)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Stoll
Mitchell
Home
57.2% (3,285)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Stoll
Mitchell
P1
54.2%
52.0%
P2
55.8%
49.9%
P3
55.3%
50.9%
OT
52.7%
69.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |