Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Erat 46.8% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stoll 93.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 89.2%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Stoll
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stoll
Erat
Last 6: Stoll 4-2 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Stoll
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
0
Stoll
Erat
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
46.7% (321)
+9.3%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
45.5% (101)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
41.4% (29)
+9.3%
On power play, Stoll has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Stoll
Erat
Home
57.2% (3,285)
53.2% (252)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Stoll
Erat
P1
54.2%
43.4%
P2
55.8%
45.8%
P3
55.3%
50.0%
OT
52.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Martin Erat |