Scouting Report
Michael Frolik holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frolik on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frolik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Frolik 55.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frolik 59.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 75.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 57.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Stoll
Frolik
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stoll
Frolik
Last 6: Stoll 3-3 Frolik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Frolik
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Frolik
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frolik
1
2
Stoll
Frolik
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Frolik
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
67.3% (55)
-10.4%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
50.0% (4)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
44.4% (9)
+2.9%
On even strength, Frolik has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frolik shoots left. Stoll is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Stoll shoots right. Frolik is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Stoll
Frolik
Home
57.3% (618)
66.7% (42)
Away
52.2% (621)
57.7% (26)
By Period
Stoll
Frolik
P1
54.5%
70.6%
P2
57.2%
54.5%
P3
53.4%
66.7%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
63.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |