Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frolik on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frolik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Frolik 44.0% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 62.3%
Defensive zone
Stoll 86.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 77.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Stoll
Frolik
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stoll
Frolik
Last 7: Stoll 4-3 Frolik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Frolik
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Frolik
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frolik
1
2
Stoll
Frolik
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Frolik
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
46.0% (409)
+10.0%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
25.0% (36)
+31.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
29.4% (51)
+21.3%
On power play, Stoll has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frolik shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Frolik is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Stoll
Frolik
Home
57.2% (3,285)
45.8% (253)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
39.5% (243)
By Period
Stoll
Frolik
P1
54.2%
44.8%
P2
55.8%
41.5%
P3
55.3%
41.9%
OT
52.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |