Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 56.0%). Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 34-32 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 51.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 53.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 52.9%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Stoll
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
34
(66 meetings)
32
34
Stoll
Kesler
Last 10: Stoll 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
13
Stoll
Kesler
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
15
12
Stoll
Kesler
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
9
Stoll
Kesler
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
56.4% (8,095)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Stoll shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Stoll
Kesler
Home
57.2% (3,285)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Stoll
Kesler
P1
54.2%
56.5%
P2
55.8%
55.9%
P3
55.3%
56.1%
OT
52.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | OT | 01:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |