Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Dickinson 49.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 80.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 91.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 60.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Guentzel
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Guentzel
Dickinson
Last 7: Guentzel 4-3 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
4
0
Guentzel
Dickinson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
3
Guentzel
Dickinson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
51.5% (695)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
54.5% (11)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.4% (210)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Guentzel shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Dickinson
Home
49.3% (201)
53.6% (489)
Away
42.6% (183)
44.7% (427)
By Period
Guentzel
Dickinson
P1
49.6%
47.7%
P2
45.6%
52.1%
P3
41.6%
47.8%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |