Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Staal 54.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Dickinson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dickinson
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
56.2% (989)
-4.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
66.0% (159)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
42.7% (253)
-3.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Staal
Home
48.7% (431)
55.4% (699)
Away
50.7% (404)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Dickinson
Staal
P1
43.4%
55.7%
P2
54.9%
54.7%
P3
49.6%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |