Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 59.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 64.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Dickinson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
12
(13 meetings)
1
12
Dickinson
Eller
Last 10: Dickinson 1-9 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
5
Dickinson
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Dickinson
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Dickinson
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,390)
51.1% (10,321)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
52.8% (621)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (890)
46.6% (1,759)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,470).
Dickinson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Eller
Home
49.3% (2,791)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
46.0% (2,630)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Dickinson
Eller
P1
47.0%
51.2%
P2
48.2%
50.1%
P3
47.7%
50.2%
OT
52.9%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |