Jason Dickinson vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs McCarron 52.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 64.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 50.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.3%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Dickinson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Dickinson
McCarron
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Dickinson
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Dickinson
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
52.8% (697)
-0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
18.2% (11)
+48.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
52.6% (211)
-13.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Dickinson
McCarron
Home
48.7% (431)
52.8% (477)
Away
50.7% (404)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Dickinson
McCarron
P1
43.4%
56.2%
P2
54.9%
52.4%
P3
49.6%
48.7%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |