Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.2%). Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Bonino 48.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 50.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Dickinson
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dickinson
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Dickinson
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
48.1% (324)
+0.5%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
57.9% (38)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
44.3% (88)
-0.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Bonino
Home
45.4% (368)
52.0% (244)
Away
49.9% (403)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Dickinson
Bonino
P1
49.2%
48.0%
P2
46.3%
42.9%
P3
48.1%
53.9%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |