Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Roy 48.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 55.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 51.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Dickinson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Dickinson
Roy
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
7
Dickinson
Roy
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,390)
48.7% (3,719)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
49.5% (283)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (890)
45.5% (477)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dickinson is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,951).
Dickinson shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Roy
Home
49.3% (2,791)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.0% (2,630)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Dickinson
Roy
P1
47.0%
50.8%
P2
48.2%
46.3%
P3
47.7%
48.1%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |