Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs McLeod 49.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Dickinson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Dickinson
McLeod
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Dickinson
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
5
Dickinson
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
4
Dickinson
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,223)
50.3% (3,136)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (136)
52.6% (272)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (845)
43.0% (582)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,321).
Dickinson shoots left. McLeod is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,579).
Home / Away
Dickinson
McLeod
Home
49.4% (2,705)
49.8% (2,033)
Away
45.7% (2,499)
49.0% (1,957)
By Period
Dickinson
McLeod
P1
47.1%
50.6%
P2
48.2%
48.3%
P3
47.3%
49.8%
OT
52.0%
35.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.6%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |