Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Poehling 48.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 63.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Dickinson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dickinson
Poehling
Last 6: Dickinson 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
50.4% (680)
+1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
38.8% (219)
+0.3%
On power play, Dickinson has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Poehling
Home
48.7% (431)
47.4% (422)
Away
50.7% (404)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Dickinson
Poehling
P1
43.4%
53.3%
P2
54.9%
40.3%
P3
49.6%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |