Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Aho 53.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 85.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dickinson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dickinson
Aho
Last 7: Dickinson 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Dickinson
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
51.2% (785)
+0.0%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
63.8% (213)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
57.9% (57)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Aho
Home
52.9% (664)
54.9% (548)
Away
46.7% (572)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Dickinson
Aho
P1
49.0%
52.8%
P2
48.3%
58.9%
P3
52.5%
50.6%
OT
61.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |