Jason Dickinson vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 92.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 66.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 80.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Dickinson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dickinson
Stamkos
Last 7: Dickinson 5-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Dickinson
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
57.1% (368)
-5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
55.2% (96)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
50.0% (10)
-10.9%
On power play, Dickinson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Stamkos
Home
48.7% (431)
53.9% (230)
Away
50.7% (404)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Dickinson
Stamkos
P1
43.4%
56.7%
P2
54.9%
54.1%
P3
49.6%
59.2%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |