Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Boqvist 37.4% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 96.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 93.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 94.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Spezza
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Spezza
Boqvist
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Boqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
2
Spezza
Boqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Boqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
36.3% (1,095)
+18.1%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
42.1% (38)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
30.8% (26)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Boqvist is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Spezza
Boqvist
Home
56.8% (5,066)
36.9% (542)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
35.8% (617)
By Period
Spezza
Boqvist
P1
55.7%
37.4%
P2
54.4%
35.9%
P3
54.1%
35.9%
OT
51.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |